Temporally persistent patterns of incidence and abundance in a pollinator guild at annual and decadal scales: the bees of Larrea tridentata

A recent alternative model to conventional coevolution, the geographic mosaic theory of coevolution, posits that reciprocal selection is episodic and local, rather than persistent and spatially extensive. However, little empirical evidence addresses this model’s tenets, in particular the temporal stability of local plant-pollinator interactions. We evaluated this tenet using the richly diverse guild of bees at creosote bush (Larrea tridentata), a generalist plant that hosts many specialist bees. We systematically resampled over 2-5 years at 11 sites across the south-western USA. Incidence and abundance also were compared for survey sites sampled 20 2 years earlier. Average Morisita-Horn faunal similarities of local bee guilds was 87% for sequential years and 36% after 20 years. Similarities in taxonomic composition of resampled local bee guilds could be statistically represented as a random assemblage drawn from the regional source pool of 54-68 bee species that could be expected at Larrea, weighted by regional abundance. At every site, only the minority of abundant bee species was typically persistent in local guilds, even after > 20 years. Most bee species in the Larrea guild were chronically uncommon, geographically sporadic and temporally unpredictable, attributes that render them numerically inconsequential as pollinators in their local guild. Persistence among abundant bee species in local pollinator assemblages satisfies one condition by which reciprocal selection could act locally. The well-being of these more abundant core species, and not bee diversity per se, may better characterize the health of such plant-pollinator associations.